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IMF increased growth forecast for türkiye

July 30, 2025

IMF increased growth forecast for türkiye

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), in the global economic viewpoint, is forecasted to grow in 2025 for Türkiye from 2.7 %to 3 %, estimated growth of 2026 increased by 0.1 points to 3.3 %.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) published a report on the appearance of the world economy in July under the title “Global economy: Weak start -up in an uncertain environment”. The report reported that global economic growth is expected to be 3.1 % by 2025 and 3.1 % by 2026. Estimated growth of the world economy this year is 0.2 points higher than the estimated announced in April. The IMF forecast is published in April expected that the world economy will increase by 2.8 % this year and 3 % next year. In the report, the increase in growth forecast; The demand of higher customs duties is stronger than expected, requiring lower tax rates than published in April, improvement in financial conditions due to the weakening of the US dollar and financial expansion in some large economies. Risks for economic appearance goes down Global title inflation is expected to drop to 4.2 % by 2025, 2026 to 3.6 % in the report, this course in April in the same direction is recorded in the same way. The report stated that inflation will continue to maintain above the target in the US and in other major economies, it is expected to be more moderate. In the report stating that the risks for economic appearance are decreasing, the increase in tax rates can lead to weaker growth. The report emphasizes that the high level of uncertainty may start to put more pressure on economic activities. The warning report that geopolitical tensions can interrupt the global supply chain and withdraw the price of goods, and the budget deficit is greater or increasing the risk of increasing risks may increase the long -term interest rate and tighten the global financial conditions. In the report, in the positive scenario, global growth can be motivated if trade negotiations reach the framework that can predict and reduce taxes. The growth of the Turkish economy has been revised

In the report, where the economic growth forecast of shared countries, the amendments of the increase are made in the forecast of the growth of the Turkish economy this year and next year. The report reported that the Turkish economy is expected to increase 3 % this year and 3.3 next year. In April, IMF estimated the growth of the Turkish economy to 2.7 % this year and 3.2 next year.

The revision increases in the forecast of growth of the US and EU economies

The expectation of the growth of the US economy has increased from 1.8 % to 1.9 % for 2025, the country's economy has increased from 1.7 % to 2 % to the growth forecast for next year. The report said that the growth of the economy of the euro region has increased from 0.8 % to 1 % this year and it was protected by 1.2 for 2026. Predicting German growth has increased from 0 to 0.1 % this year and keeps continuously 0.9 for the next year, expectations for the growth of the French economy have been reported as 0.6 percentage this year. In the report, the estimated growth of the Italian economy has increased from 0.4 % to 0.5 for this year and estimated growth of the Spanish economy is 2.5 % for this year and the next year is protected by 1.8 % for next year. In the IMF report, the expectation of the British economy's growth has increased from 1.1 % to 1.2 this year and it is kept at 1.4 % for the next year. It is estimated that the growth of the Japanese economy has increased from 0.6 % to 0.7 this year and it has decreased from 0.6 % to 0.5 for next year.

The forecast of the growth of the Chinese economy is also modified above In the report, the growth expectations for China's economy in increased markets and the growing national economy group have increased from 4 % to 4.8 % for this year and 4.2 % for next year. The Indian economy is estimated to grow this year from 6.2 % to 6.4 % and 6.3 % for the next year to 6.4 % of the report reports, estimated growth of the Russian economy from 1.5 % to 0.9 % this year, the year is from 0.9 % to 1 %.

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