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Important predictions about minimum wage increases: 2026. What will the minimum wage be, by what percentage increase?

October 9, 2025

Important predictions about minimum wage increases: 2026. What will the minimum wage be, by what percentage increase?

Less than 3 months before Tet, the minimum wage estimate was discussed. While increasing the minimum wage directly affects millions of employees, it also indirectly determines the wage policies of companies. As part of the fight against inflation, the minimum wage has been increased intermittently in recent years. In 2024 and 2025, no temporary minimum wage increases will be implemented following a decline in inflation. The minimum wage will be reset in January. So what will the minimum wage be? Here's how to calculate the minimum wage…

Significant predictions have begun to be made regarding the minimum wage. This year in particular, although there was no temporary minimum wage increase, expectations for a wage increase have increased. In January, the minimum wage was determined to be 22 thousand 104 lira. When determining the minimum wage, employers, unions and government officials must participate together. The work of the Ministry of Finance and Finance as well as the Ministry of Labor and Social Security is also taken into account. In addition to inflation, many other factors are also evaluated to determine the pace of minimum wage increase. The minimum wage will be determined by the committee meeting this year as it is every year. So what percentage will the minimum wage increase be in 2026? These are the numbers on the table…
While determining the minimum wage increase, five representatives from employers, employees and the government participate in the committee. The employee side and the employer side list their expectations. While economic data is assessed, the minimum wage increase will be determined. While the minimum wage was to increase by 49% in 2024, it increased by 30% in 2025. The temporary minimum wage increase formula has not been applied in the past two years. The Central Bank estimates inflation will be at 24% by the end of 2025. When determining the minimum wage, inflation is not a direct determining factor, as is the case with civil servant salaries and pensions.
Economists predict the January 2026 increase will be between 30 and 40%. The current minimum wage paid is 22 thousand 104 lira. The notable calculation of the minimum wage is as follows: If the minimum wage increases by 30%, it will increase by 6 thousand 631 liras. If the increase rate is reduced to 35%, the current minimum wage will increase by 7 thousand 736 liras. If the minimum wage increase is 40%, the increase will be 8 thousand 841 liras. You can find the calculation done on the rate of increase below.
In case of a 30% increase, the minimum salary will be 28,735 TL. In case of a 31% increase, the minimum wage will be 28,956 TL. In case of a 32% increase, the minimum wage will be 29,177 TL. In case of a 33% increase, the minimum salary will be 29,398 TL. In case of a 34% increase, the minimum wage will be 29,619 TL. In case of a 35% increase, the minimum salary will be 29,840 TL.
In case of a 36% increase, the minimum wage will be 30,061 TL. In case of a 37% increase, the minimum salary will be 30,282 TL. In case of a 38% increase, the minimum salary will be 30,503 TL. In case of a 39% increase, the minimum wage will be 30,724 TL. In case of a 40% increase, the minimum salary will be 30,945 TL.
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